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Oil Prices on the Rise – Opportunity or Challenge for Vietnam’s Economy in Q4 2025?

Publication date
7 month 10, 2025
Oil Prices on the Rise – Opportunity or Challenge for Vietnam’s Economy in Q4 2025?
In recent weeks, global oil prices have started climbing again. The OPEC+ decision to increase production by 137,000 barrels per day starting November 2025 has directly impacted domestic fuel prices. As of the latest update, E5 RON92 gasoline is at 19,624 VND/liter, RON95 III at 20,209 VND/liter, and diesel at 19,038 VND/liter.

Rising Oil Prices – Pressure on Living Costs and Production

Higher fuel prices translate into increased transportation and production costs. Industries such as logistics, food processing, and consumer goods manufacturing are directly affected. This can lead to higher product prices, adding inflationary pressures in Q4 2025.

Consumers may feel the impact in commuting, shopping, and service costs, while businesses face the challenge of balancing pricing strategies to maintain profit margins.

Export Competitiveness Also Affected

Rising transportation costs not only affect domestic operations but also impact Vietnam’s global competitiveness. With global demand still recovering modestly, higher production and shipping costs could challenge exporters, especially in energy-intensive sectors.

Opportunity to Boost Renewable Energy

The surge in oil prices also presents a golden opportunity for Vietnam to accelerate its transition to renewable energy. Investments in wind and solar projects, along with other clean energy initiatives, can reduce reliance on fossil fuels and lower long-term costs.

This is the perfect moment for policymakers and businesses to adjust energy strategies, aiming for sustainable development and enhancing the country’s economic resilience.

Conclusion

The recent rise in oil prices is a double-edged sword: it challenges inflation and production costs but also opens doors for renewable energy growth and economic restructuring. Q4 2025 will be a crucial period for businesses and government authorities to respond flexibly, mitigating negative impacts while seizing opportunities for sustainable growth.

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